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What’s Going On in This Graph? | May 6, 2020

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What’s Going On in This Graph? | May 6, 2020

This graph and map, showing immigrants’ share of the U. S. population, appeared elsewhere on NYTimes.com.

By Friday morning, May 8, we will provide the “Reveal” — the graph and map’s free online link, additional background and questions, shout outs highlighting student comments and headlines, and Stat Nuggets.

After looking closely at the graph and map above, think about these three questions:

  • What do you notice? If you make a claim, tell us what you noticed that supports your claim.

  • What do you wonder? What are you curious about that comes from what you notice in the graph and map?

The questions are intended to build on one another, so try to answer them in order. Start with “I notice,” then “I wonder,” and end with a catchy headline.

2. Next, join the conversation by clicking on the comment button and posting in the box that opens on the right. (Students 13 and older are invited to comment online. Teachers of younger students are welcome to post what their students say.)

3. Below the response box, there is an option for students to click on “Email me when my comment is published.” This sends the link to their response which they can share with their teacher.

4. After you have posted, read what others have said, then respond to someone else by posting a comment. Use the “Reply” button or the @ symbol to address that student directly.

On Wednesday, May 6, our collaborator, the American Statistical Association, will facilitate this discussion from 9 a.m. to 2 p.m. Eastern time to help students’ understanding go deeper. You might use their responses as models for your own.

5. By Friday morning, May 8, we will reveal more information about the map at the bottom of this post. Students, we encourage you to post an additional comment after reading the reveal. How does the original article and the moderators’ comments help you see the map differently? Try to incorporate the statistical terms defined in the Stat Nuggets in your response.

Word + Quiz: chignon

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Word + Quiz: chignon

: a roll of hair worn at the nape of the neck

_________

The word chignon has appeared in three articles on NYTimes.com in the past year, including on Jan. 23 in “In Paris, Champagne and a Butterfly” by Kathleen Beckett:

They came Monday evening to see the latest addition to the museum’s 4,000-piece permanent jewelry collection: a small butterfly brooch by the Taiwanese jeweler Cindy Chao, displayed in a glass vitrine in its Galerie des Bijoux.

… Ms. Chao, who calls her business The Art Jewel, described the piece as sculptural. “My grandfather was an architect and my father a sculptor. Art is in my blood,” she told her guests during brief remarks, after being introduced by the museum’s director general, Sylvie Corréard. (Ms. Chao wore a black velvet tuxedo suit and had her hair in a chignon, clearly displaying a pair of her peony earrings that feature 10-carat diamonds and 1,300 small sapphires. A brand executive at the event said the earrings cost $1.56 million.)

_________

The complete guide to digital skills

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The complete guide to digital skills

Professional services firm Accenture has teamed up with FutureLearn to provide a suite of free digital skills courses. Covering topics such as web analytics, social media, and artificial intelligence, these courses are designed to equip learners with essential digital skills for the modern century workplace.

But what are digital skills, why are they so important, and how can you learn them? Read on to find out more.


What are basic digital skills?

Digital skills are broadly defined as those needed to “use digital devices, communication applications, and networks to access and manage information,” in UNESCO’s terms.

This covers a huge range and variety of skills, of course. There are different tiers of digital skills. At the bottom, we have what the UK Department for Education (DfE) calls “digital foundation skills”.

These are the basic digital skills that will be second nature to Millennials and Generation Z digital natives, though which may have to be learned by older generations.

A framework written up by the DfE alongside Accenture and other organisations outlines these basic digital skills under six areas. These are then subdivided into skills for life and additional skills for work.

These are:

  • Digital foundation skills – the fundamentals of being able to use digital technologies, such as using a browser, connecting to the internet, and keeping passwords secure.
  • Communicating – sending emails securely, using attachments, and participating on social media.
  • Handling information and content – using search engines, being aware that not all online content is reliable, accessing content across devices.
  • Transacting – setting up accounts to use or purchase goods/services online, using different secure payment methods, filling in online forms.
  • Problem-solving – finding solutions to problems using FAQs/tutorials/chat, presenting solutions through software, and improving productivity.
  • Being safe and legal online – understanding best practice in data storage/sharing, updating and keeping passwords secure, and taking precautions against viruses.

These are defined as the basic digital skills needed in a day-to-day professional or personal context. They will be enough for many working in traditional workplaces which have adopted digital systems to improve efficiency, security, and connectivity.

What are advanced digital skills?

On the other hand, those looking to work in the growing digital sector itself will need to possess more advanced skills pertaining to specific areas of digital business. These include, but are no means limited to, areas covered in the digital skills courses:  

Digital marketing

The internet has completely changed the marketing game, bringing a level of precision and scale unknown in the pre-digital age. Specialised digital skills are required in order to navigate this new terrain, with expert practitioners often focusing on one specific discipline. These include things like pay-per-click advertising, search engine optimisation, email marketing, as well as the strategy to bring them together.

Social media

Social media digital skills are crucial to the digital marketing mix, but are worth pulling out as social media has come to play such a significant role in our day-to-day as well as professional lives. Social media management tools, performance measurement, new channel research, brand presence/voice, influencer marketing, and paid vs organic all play a part in connecting with prospective and current users.

User experience (UX)

Just as the actual experience of shopping in brick-and-mortar stores plays an essential role in driving sales, the experience of using a website or mobile app is key to leading users to do what the website or app owner wants them to do. Indeed, it is even more central, as users can only use a website in predetermined ways. Thus, we have the area of digital skills known as user experience, or UX. This is the art of making sure that apps, websites, and other digital channels are intuitive and enjoyable to use.

Web Analytics

Part of what makes the digital age distinct from before is precision. We can clearly understand the behaviour patterns of those using digital platforms. For businesses, this also means being able to quantifiably track the successes and failures of their digital initiatives. The digital skillset involved in collating and making sense of this data is web analytics. Things like benchmarking, audience segmentation, and measurement all fall under the remit of web analytics.

Artificial intelligence

Artificial intelligence may still have something of a science fiction ring to it, even compared with the aforementioned digital skills. Nonetheless, artificial intelligence is playing an increasing role in modern businesses. Rather than the sentient robots of cinematic lore, AI is about teaching machines to do jobs, predict, and make decisions based on detailed computation of past examples.

Think of the automation of tasks to improve efficiency, by no means limited only to manual work, with business process automation playing an increasing role in modern workplaces (not even medicine or law are exempt). Machine learning from big data in order to make better strategic decisions or to predict how people will act in a given context is also set to be key.

These represent only a handful of advanced digital skills. Other examples include data visualization, web and app development, CRM software, video production, and search engine marketing (SEM).

Why are digital skills important?

Digital skills are important because they underpin so much of how modern work is conducted. For many modern professions, digital skills are simply essential skills.

A 2017 study from the European Commission found that 93% of European workplaces use computers, with 94% utilising broadband internet. These are across all industries; even farmers, the report points out, require digital skills in the 21st century.

The requirement for digital skills is higher in professional careers, finds the report. 90% of professionals are required to possess at least basic digital skills, increasing to 98% of managers. In many workplaces, basic skills will not suffice: 50% of professionals and technicians, and 30% of managers are required to have specialist digital skills. This is particularly the case in larger organisations.

This is by no means limited to the UK and Europe. A US-study from Burning Glass for Capital One found that 82% of middle-skill jobs required digital skills. Clearly, then, digital competency is at the core of the modern professional skillset. 

This need is only likely to increase further as business shifts increasingly to the digital realm. 

According to stats from Retail Economics, we will see over 50% of retail sales in the UK taking place online before the end of the decade. ONS statistics show that internet sales already account for as much as 20% of total sales. This percentage has been climbing rapidly since the ONS began to measure these figures, tripling over the last 10 years.

On a wider scale, the UN reports that estimates for the value of the digital economy vary, from 4.5% to 15.5% of world GDP. Either way, that’s a significant sum. This is a truly international phenomenon. Digitally deliverable service exports accounted for 50% of service exports, with a total value of $3 trillion.

The need for digital skills will only continue to increase. This will be exacerbated by Industry 4.0 – or the fourth industrial revolution. This will see a greater drive towards automation and cross-system data exchange, with two consequences: the loss of roles as they are automated, and a greater demand for those with advanced digital skills.

The World Economic Forum estimated in 2019 that 133 million new roles will be created by 2022 as a result of the new division of labour between humans, machines, and algorithms. The most in-demand skills, according to WEF estimates, will be big data analytics, app and web-enabled markets, and the internet of things.  

Finally, we might note that the coronavirus pandemic has put a further spin on matters. Workers who previously relied on in-person interaction now are compelled to use digital technologies to carry out their day-to-day functions. The pandemic will not last forever, but it is likely that remote working will become a more deeply-ingrained part of everyday working life.

How big is the digital skills gap?

Despite the importance of digital skills, there is a skills gap. In the UK, according to the Department for Education, the problems run deep, with 10% of working adults not in possession of basic digital skills. We can safely assume, then, that digital skills at a higher level will be sorely lacking. 

Indeed, only 12% of executives believed that UK graduates had satisfactory digital skills in 2018, according to Deloitte, down from 20% in 2017. Three quarters reported experiencing challenges in digital recruitment.

This digital skills gap has consequences not only for job seekers, but industry itself. The European Commission found that 38% of workplaces suffered negative results as a consequence of a lack of digital skills. This digital skills gap is more pronounced in highly-skilled professions.  

An EY report from 2018 echoes this. Almost half of European companies, according to their data, lacked skills in the areas of AI, cybersecurity, and robotics. For those sufficiently well-equipped and willing to develop such digital skills, there are opportunities, with 89% of companies intending to invest in training in order to rectify these digital skills gaps.

In the US, a Deloitte report from the same year found that Industry 4.0 was spurring rapid growth in job opportunities, though at the same time highlighting the scale of the digital skills gap. The professional services firm predicted that some 2.4 million jobs would be left unfilled from 2018 to 2028, with a potential economic impact of $2.5 trillion.  

While the coronavirus pandemic will slow down hiring, these highly-relevant positions are likely to be among the first to recover as businesses adjust to new ways of doing things. Those with digital skills will be well placed to prosper.

How do I learn digital skills?

The European Commission reports that while businesses report the negative impact of lacking digital skills, they have not been proactive in rectifying this. No fewer than 88% of workplaces have not engaged in any digital skills training for employees. The high cost of training is the most common impediment.

The onus remains on companies to upskill their employees. Some employees, however, may wish to take digital skills training into their own hands to improve processes and results, as well as their own employability. Having a grounding in digital skills can also help make the case to employers of their value – hopefully encouraging investment and further training.

For such employees wondering how to improve digital skills, as well as companies interested in upskilling their workforce, the suite of Accenture digital skills courses available on FutureLearn may prove a valuable introduction. These courses are available for free, removing cost as a barrier to entry for either constituency.

For those who wish and are able to embark on more in-depth studies, a range of different options are available, including professional certifications courses, diplomas, and master’s degrees. Online options sit alongside local provision in colleges and universities.

For companies in which digital skills are present, one of the key channels through which digital skills are imparted is on-the-job training, with junior staff learning and honing their digital skills with their managers. For companies going through digital transformations in particular, the passing of digital skills between employees will be a key learning channel.

The barrier for entry will be higher, however, where companies have completed their digital transformation, or in other cases are startups that have only existed in digital form. For such organisations, prospective employees at all but the most junior levels are required to be in possession of such skills before even being considered for roles.

Those looking to gain such skills can benefit from the Accenture digital skills course available through FutureLearn, and similar courses. These can benefit those looking to upskill and retrain, and can also serve as an introduction to further study.

Digital skills you can acquire on these courses include:

For those looking to hone their basic digital skills, various tutorials, courses, and how-to guides are available online. Local community provision might also be another way for those who prefer learning in-person. For those unable to make the first few steps, friends and family play an invaluable role, as well as local community courses. Various charities and other organisations also provide basic digital skills training to older users.

Those who know fundamental skills but are unsure of the next steps to take might benefit from Digital Skills: Grow Your Career.

How can digital skills help my career?

Acquiring digital skills will undoubtedly improve your career prospects.

In the above section where we discuss why digital skills are important, we highlighted how more and more roles require digital skills. In addition to this, new roles have come into being based around new digital skills. 15 years ago, web analysts, social media consultants, and PPC managers did not exist.

Acquiring digital skills will therefore allow you to compete in this context. Quite simply, there is a point in the not-too-distant future at which all non-manual roles will hinge on digital skills. UK Government stats from 2019 show that 82% of job openings required digital skills. These skills will also give your career staying power once you get a foot in the door; possessing specific digital skills such as SEO reduces a worker’s risk of automation by 59%.

The need for digital skills become more pronounced as we climb the career ladder – and will therefore be necessary for those seeking promotions. Another study conducted by Burning Glass, this time in the UK at the behest of the UK Government, found that listings for 83% of high-skill jobs and 85% of mid-skill jobs specifically called for digital skills. This compares to 77% of low-skill jobs; in itself an extremely high concentration.

Those with digital skills enjoy earnings premiums. The Burning Glass/Capital One US study cited above found that middle skills jobs that required basic digital skills paid $20/hour on average, compared to $15/hour for non-digital jobs. If we narrow the focus to advanced digital skills, the hourly rate becomes $28, putting earners in the top quartile.

In the UK, the average salary for ‘digital jobs’ according to Adzuna is £45,625. This compares to the median UK income of £25,000, rising to £30,000 for full-time work.

Those at all levels were found to enjoy earnings premiums, according to the Burning Glass study. This becomes more pronounced at the top, with high-skill workers with digital skills earning 33% more than those in non-digital occupations. For middle-skill jobs the figure is 19%, and even in low-skill jobs, the differential is a still notable 14%.

Again, the premium becomes even greater with advanced digital skills. The average salary for those with specific digital skills across skill levels stands at £40,000, compared to £29,500 for those with basic digital skills.

Finally, digital skills can also stand to boost the career of those who want to embrace the flexibility of freelance work. The digitisation of existing skillsets, and the creation of new digital professions means that remote and flexible working are more possible than ever. With the right skills, software and a good internet connection, anyone can be a digital freelancer.

Even the modes of pitching have become digital, with 2.8 million UK freelancers (out of a total of 4.8 million) reportedly offering their services through apps. There are apps, notes Forbes for every profession.

Find free digital skills training

Find out more about the Accenture courses and enrol to learn digital skills for free here.

Category Current Issues, Learning

Helping Companies Respond to Employee Well-Being and Digital Readiness during COVID-19

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Helping Companies Respond to Employee Well-Being and Digital Readiness during COVID-19

By Leah Belsky, Chief Enterprise Officer, Coursera

The spread of COVID-19 has profoundly affected the way companies operate. In a matter of days, organizations around the world transitioned millions of employees to remote working to keep their communities safe. How businesses respond during this crisis will have a lasting impact on employee engagement, productivity, and retention. 

Over the last couple of months, we have seen many of our enterprise customers lean on learning to build organizational resilience. Learning leaders across companies are on the frontlines providing employees with the support they need in adapting to a new normal. 

To help with their efforts, we are launching the Coursera Employee Resilience Initiative to give our enterprise customers and all their employees free access to a curated set of 30+ courses. Our goal is to help employees successfully transition to remote working, increase digital readiness, and improve mental wellbeing during a particularly stressful time.  

The catalog includes some of our highest demand courses during this crisis, such as The Science of Well-Being from Yale University, Foundations of Everyday Leadership from the University of Illinois, Fighting COVID-19 with Epidemiology from Johns Hopkins University, and Communications Strategies for the Virtual Age from the University of Toronto. Once opted-into the initiative, employees will have unlimited access to the courses until July 31, 2020. Any learner who enrolls by then will have until September 30, 2020, to complete their courses. 

It’s been humbling to see leading businesses around the world implement this initiative, with an opportunity to collectively support up to 26 million of their employees worldwide.

According to Peter Sheppard, Global Head of Learning Ecosystem, at Ericsson, “Since the COVID-19 pandemic emerged, we wanted to provide our employees with the best resources to support their mental health and wellbeing, as well as supporting them in their transition to remote working. We are thankful for this initiative by Coursera which has enabled us to make this support easier for everyone across the organisation.”

Learning is a powerful tool for engaging employees and we’re honored to partner with companies in their efforts to use learning as a catalyst for hope and adaptability. If you’re a Coursera customer and interested in making this initiative available to your employees, please reach out to your Customer Success Manager.

 

How to Add Plugins in WordPress

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How to Add Plugins in WordPress

How to Add Plugins in WordPress Post cover

WordPress is a platform that lets your blog or website expand and change in almost any way you need. No matter if you want to add a shop, forum, or a small functionality, it all can be done just by adding a proper plugin. It does not require any coding skills, and it is easy! In this post, we will explain how in a few clicks, you can add plugins in WordPress

What is a plugin?

I once heard plugin be compared to an “app” for a smartphone – if that helps you visualize. Plugins can extend WordPress to do almost anything you can imagine. In the WordPress Plugin Directory, you can find, download, rate, and comment on all the best plugins the WordPress community has to offer.


Popular Plugins

Some of the most popular plugins that I’ve used and seen used are the following:

Google Analytics for WordPress
Track your WordPress site easily and with lots of metadata: views per author & category, automatic tracking of outbound clicks and pageviews

Contact Form 7
Just another contact form plugin. Simple but flexible.

Google XML Sitemaps
This plugin will generate a special XML sitemap which will help search engines to better index your blog.

All in One SEO Pack
Automatically optimizes your WordPress blog for Search Engines (Search Engine Optimization).

Smart Slider
My favorite slider! I will always recommend it as it saved me a lot of time.


How to add plugins in WordPress

Now let’s get to the main topic – adding plugins to your WordPress site. The first thing you will need to do is log into your Dashboard. Once there, there are a few ways in which you can proceed. In this post, I will focus on the two most popular ones.

Adding plugin automatically (for beginners)

In your WordPress Dashboard, go to the Plugins tab on the left and pick the ‘ Add new‘ button.

Plugins Tab in the WordPress Dashboard

Once there, navigate to the search box located in the top right corner and enter the name of the plugin you would like to install

Search for the plugin you would like to add to your WordPress

Plugins containing the words you typed should appear in the area just below the search box.

For this post, I was searching for the plugin called Smart Slider. When the plugin you need appears, all you need to do is click the ‘Install Now‘ button next to it.

Click the 'Install Now' button to install your new plugin

After a moment, the ‘Install Now‘ button should change to the blue ‘Active‘ button. Click it to make the plugin active for your WordPress.

Activate installed plugin

Important!

The general rule of the thumb is that all plugins which you can find in your Plugins tab are safe to install. However, you should always keep an eye on the bottom area of each plugin box.

Important Plugin statistics

It will tell you if the plugin is popular when it has its last update and if it is compatible with your WordPress version. You should always pick plugins that are compatible and have been updated recently unless you know the plugin you are installing can not be replaced with a different one.


Adding plugin manually

The second option is a little bit more advanced and lets you add plugins to WordPress even if it is not listed in the plugins tab. Usually, it will be just a premium version of a plugin you purchased or a custom made plugin.

It starts the same as the previous option. You need to log in to your WordPress and go to the Plugins tab on the left. From the drop-down menu again pick ‘Add New‘.

Plugins Tab in the WordPress Dashboard

Now, instead of going to the search box in the top right corner, navigate to the ‘Upload Plugin‘ button on the top.

Once you click it, you will see a new window below. Click ‘Choose file‘ to browse your computer for a plugin file. It should be in a .zip file format.

When you have the right file, click ‘Install Now’ on the right and wait a moment until you will be redirected to a new window with the activate button.

That’s all! Your new plugin is now installed


Remember to keep all your plugins and WordPress updated!

Learn how you can check for updates and perform them from our tutorial

read more


If you have any questions on this tutorial or you have any ideas for future tutorials, please email us at [email protected].

Word + Quiz: calico

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Word + Quiz: calico

noun: coarse cloth with a bright print

adjective: made of calico or resembling calico in being patterned

adjective: having sections or patches colored differently and usually brightly

_________

The word calico has appeared in 16 articles on NYTimes.com in the past year, including on Sept. 10 in “Found in Maine: A 1-in-50 Million Lobster” by Laura M. Holson:

Some lobsters aren’t meant for a roll.

That was the case for a rare two-toned lobster that was plucked recently from the icy waters off Stonington, Me., and which scientists say is a one-in-50 million find. The lobster, split from head to tail into halves of black and orange, was found in Penobscot Bay by Capt. Daryl Dunham when he was fishing in the coastal waters there, according to Patrick Shepard, a fishing scientist at the Maine Center for Coastal Fisheries.

The fisherman donated the male crustacean to the center, where it will live in rarefied company for a few weeks. The center already has three other unusual lobsters in its tanks, including a blue lobster, a one-in-two million find, and two calico lobsters, whose shells resemble a constellation of orange and black and which people who fish have a one-in-30 million chance of catching.

_________

Weekly News Quiz for Students: States Reopen, N.F.L. Draft, a Fiftieth Anniversary

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Weekly News Quiz for Students: States Reopen, N.F.L. Draft, a Fiftieth Anniversary

Above is an image related to one of the news stories we followed over the past week. Do you know what it shows? At the bottom of this quiz, you’ll find the answer.

Have you been paying attention to the news recently? See how many of these 10 questions you can get right.

Ramadan in Isolation

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Ramadan in Isolation

For the world’s 1.8 billion Muslims, the holy month of Ramadan, which began last week, is a social and spiritual high point, a time to gather with friends and family, and to focus on fasting, prayer and scripture.

But the coronavirus pandemic is transforming this Ramadan across the world, clearing out mosques, canceling communal prayers and forcing families to replace physical gatherings with virtual meet-ups.

What religious or spiritual traditions do you or your family or community observe? How have they been affected by the need for quarantines and social distancing?

Tell us in the comments, then look at the related photo essay, which shows images of Ramadan around the world this year.

Can we model the coronavirus pandemic?

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Can we model the coronavirus pandemic?

With governments scrambling to respond to COVID-19’s continued sweep across the globe, policymakers and public alike are having to confront challenges society hasn’t faced for a century or more. 

One of the most striking issues the pandemic has thrown up is how to cope with uncertainty. With the virus only emerging in December 2019 (hence its moniker of ‘novel’ coronavirus), there are many unanswered questions about what exactly the virus is, and what effect it will have on the world in the weeks ahead.

With the accuracy of antibody tests being called into question by many experts – and thus little known about how far the virus has spread into the populations of different nations – people are increasingly turning to pandemic modelling to provide a degree of future certainty where none currently exists.

How will coronavirus end?

Mathematical models are created by scientists in order to provide predictions. In the case of epidemics and pandemics, modelling can be vitally important because it allows policymakers to see what shape the spread of a virus might take in the months to come. 

According to The Conversation, “insights from mathematical modelling are vital to ensuring that authorities can prevent as many deaths as possible.” For pandemics, these are called SIR models – as they attempt to plot the numbers of people Susceptible to the virus, those who become Infected, and those who Recover (or die).

There has been a swathe of models that have filled timelines and news cycles, from those of established institutions like the Institue for Health Metric Evaluation (IHME) in America, to independent websites like COVID-19 Projections, who use artificial intelligence to model the pandemic’s progress, country to country.

Do coronavirus models get it wrong?

In the case of the spread of coronavirus in the UK, pandemic modelling has already played an important role. The UK’s government’s admitted early strategy was one of ‘herd immunity’ – letting the virus move through the country to the point where its reproductive number (R0) fell below one, and the virus would start infecting fewer and fewer people.

However, that policy was abruptly abandoned when the Imperial College team that had been advising the government produced a new model – based on data coming out of the worst affected parts of Italy – stating that, if left unchecked, the virus would quickly overwhelm the National Health Service, and result in 500,000 deaths. The same model also provoked the US government into supporting a similar shutdown of the economy across the Atlantic.

Imperial’s initial model, argues The Guardian, was “based on 13-year-old code for a long-feared influenza pandemic, [and] assumed that the demand for intensive care units would be the same for both infections.”

Nature reports that, “the [Imperial] researchers initially estimated that 15% of hospital cases would need to be treated in an intensive-care unit (ICU), but then updated that to 30%, a figure used in the first public release of their work on 16 March. That model showed the UK health service, with just over 4,000 ICU beds, would be overwhelmed.” 

Imperial updated their model using data coming out from Lombardy and Wuhan to change their inputs, meaning that the model instead predicted that the virus would swamp health systems if left unchecked.

The Imperial model that shocked governments into action.

Rival schools

One of the ‘risks’ of modelling something as unpredictable and unknowable as a new virus is that changing the parameters even slightly at the start of the process can result in wildly different results – such models are extremely sensitive to their initial conditions. 

Another modelling team at the University of Oxford showed that, in the absence of any data on how many people in the UK are actually infected, the same number of confirmed cases and deaths could equally point to a low Infection Fatality Rate (IFR), and a lower hospitalisation rate as the pandemic unfolds. 

This argument has been used by those in favour of ending the lockdowns that have proved to be so punishing to economies worldwide, even though the ‘Oxford model’ only demonstrates that a wide range of possibilities exist when we have so little raw data on how many people have actually been infected with coronavirus, and how contagious it really is.

Why modelling matters

Pandemic modelling is important because it presents governments – and ordinary people – with a range of possibilities about what the future holds.

Although the worst-case scenario of the ‘Imperial model’ has, fortunately, yet come to pass, it did prompt policymakers into action. Equally, the ‘Oxford model’ has emphasised the need for testing in order to know how far the virus has spread – and thus how governments should react moving forwards.

As the British Medical Journal argues, “modelling is a necessary input to public policy decisions but should be taken as just one input among many, one piece of a large puzzle”. Used alongside other strategies like social distancing and contact tracing, modelling allows us to regain some measure of control over a fundamentally chaotic situation.

We should also bear in mind that models change as new information becomes available. Al Jazeera has explained to their readers that, “no single dataset exactly represents the reality on the ground. Every day, thousands of healthcare workers, government agencies and researchers are each collecting, processing and sharing what they know about the virus. The goal is to gather the most reliable data that can help people understand the outbreak as it evolves.”

Why ‘crushing the curve’ is important.

Ultimately, science is built on disagreement. When policymakers tell us that they’re ‘following the science’, that claim might overlook the fact that scientists don’t always agree on the best way forward – and that this lack of consensus is healthy. 

Mathematical modeller Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths urges us to remember that, “instead of focusing on which model is correct, we should accept that one model cannot answer it all.” As one aphorism in the field states: “All models are wrong, but some are useful”.

For more information on how modelling the coronavirus pandemic can help the public and policymakers make important decisions, join The Open University’s new course: COVID-19: Pandemics, Modelling, and Policy.

Category Coronavirus, Current Issues

Top 10 courses for new managers

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Top 10 courses for new managers

If you’ve recently been promoted to a management position for the first time, you’re entering an exciting, challenging, and important phase of your career. 

Managers play a crucial role in any organisation, and taking the time to learn how to be a good manager will benefit both you and your team.

Being a good manager involves everything from learning how to delegate effectively and how to prioritise your workload to developing emotional intelligence and building effective working relationships.

Understanding what makes a good manager and improving on the abilities required for your new position will develop your skills and confidence ahead of more senior roles in the future. 

We’ve put together a range of courses, from leading business schools and experts, that will help you learn how to develop your management skills and become a better manager.


Learning how to manage people is at the heart of what makes a good team leader. This course from CIPD will teach you the key principles of people management, and guide you on your journey from new manager through to developing teams and individuals under you.

You’ll explore a variety of common issues faced by new managers, including how to deal with absences, best practice in recruitment and inductions, and how to approach performance issues amongst your staff. 

The course will also give you the skills to assess current market conditions and what that might mean for your organisation.


Working remotely brings both benefits and challenges to organisations. It’s vital for managers to understand how to thrive in this changing working dynamic, and this course will provide you with the collaborative skills to do that. 

You’ll explore the management tools and technologies that can unlock the potential of working from home and have a positive impact on your organisation. 

You’ll also discover techniques to help you manage workloads and how to collaborate effectively with those in your team who might also be working remotely.   

This course is part of the popular Digital Skills for the Workplace collection from the University of Leeds and the Institute of Coding.


Whilst understanding and appreciating cultural diversity is an important skill in any walk of life, it’s also a valuable asset for a manager within the workplace. Many organisations will have a multicultural workforce from a variety of backgrounds, bringing with them different approaches. 

Understanding how to work through challenges and ultimately benefit from different opinions is crucial for any manager. 

This course from Deakin University will explore global perspectives on the importance of cultural diversity and provide you with the skills to take what you learn into your own workplace. 


Learning how to build a team and lead it effectively is an important part of being a good manager and leader. 

This course from the Open University Business School will take you through the stages involved in building an effective and happy team.

This course is specially designed for new managers or those who want to build their qualifications. You’ll discover how to write a business plan that meets your stakeholders’ needs and, importantly, learn how to identify exactly what those are. 

The course is part of the Management and Leadership, Essentials from the Open University Business School and the CMI (Chartered Management Institute). 


Ever wondered what emotional intelligence really is? This course will help you understand the origins of emotional intelligence and how it influences so many of our own decisions.

Emotional intelligence in the workplace can improve performance and harmony within teams and is a valuable skill to master for any new manager. 

You’ll get to explore how it can be measured and learn how to use your emotional intelligence in a workplace context.


Human resources (HR) performs a crucial role for any organisation because it is solely focused on their most valuable asset; employees. 

HR itself covers a range of skills, from how to recruit to people and employee retention to broad workforce planning. 

As a new manager, you may now be more involved in recruitment for your team, so being familiar with the key principles of recruitment strategies and human resource management will be key. 

This course will also give you a better understanding of the importance of setting career goals, both for yourself and your team. 


Learning how to be a good manager is a gradual process, and its a journey you’re on from the moment you become a manager to the day you retire. 

This course will guide you through the early stages of growing as a manager and give you a better understanding of key management areas like stakeholder management, decision-making, and leadership.

The course is part of the Management and Leadership, Essentials from the Open University Business School and the CMI (Chartered Management Institute). 


This course from Purdue University is designed to develop your knowledge of diversity and inclusion and will provide you with the skills to put that knowledge into action in your workplace. 

Being able to understand the different factors that make up your team’s identity and how this impacts their work will improve how you engage, interact, and support your team. 

This a great course for new managers who are looking to build more inclusive working environments, especially those managing culturally diverse teams. 


Personal development, professional development, personal development plan

Personal development is a lifelong process and will be extremely important to your success as a manager.

This course from the Open University Business School and the CMI offers you the chance to discover new opportunities for your personal and professional development, including producing and implementing your own personal development plan.


The modern workplace is changing all the time. This change has brought challenges but also a greater sense of employee empowerment. 

Remote working, flexible hours and a focus on work-life balance are just a few examples of modern workplace empowerment in action. 

On this course, you’ll discover more about this empowerment and the key role that human resources and managers play in it.

The course will build your knowledge of empowerment in the workplace and help you engage in empowerment discussion in your organisation.


For more courses for developing yourself as a manager, take a look at our full list of management and leadership courses and super-charge your managerial skills today.